Daily Productive Sharing 385 - What Happened to Middle East Recently?
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(下附中文版)
In recent years, there has been an increasing trend of calm in the Middle East, such as the normalization of diplomatic relations between Israel and the Gulf states of Egypt, Jordan, the United Arab Emirates and Bahrain. The author analyzes the reasons behind these trends.
First, the U.S. partial withdrawal from Syria and Iraq, complete withdrawal from Afghanistan, and unwillingness to take on more security responsibilities together with the pivot to the Indo-Pacific have led regional actors to rethink the cost of geopolitical instability.
Second, in many conflict zones, stalemate has been the outcome.
Third, the region is experiencing ideological exhaustion, which in return has diminished the relevance and intensity of ideological battles that were prominent over the past decade.
Fourth, geopolitics and ideology have dominated the regional agenda over the last decade.
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最近几年，中东地区趋势日益平静，比如以色利相继与埃及，约旦，阿联酋与巴林等海湾国家实现邦交正常化。作者分析了这些趋势背后的原因：
首先，美国从叙利亚/伊拉克/阿富汗撤军，以及不愿意承担更多的安全责任，使中东地区重新思考自身的地缘政治。
第二，在中东许多冲突地区，僵局已成定局。
第三，中东地区正经历着意识形态的枯竭，这反过来削弱了过去十年中突出的意识形态斗争的相关性和强度。
第四，地缘政治和意识形态在过去十年中主导了中东地区的区域议程。
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